M ove Hide Counties Share Year: Details Code available on GitHub . Best News 2023 Dove trovare peluche masha e orso cartone. The Excel workbook contains an election simulator that allows you to predict who will win each state, whilst keeping count of the Electoral College votes. Previously reliable states on both sides are now looking more competitive. All Rights Reserved. Specifically, we used exit polls and data from the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study to estimate each demographic group's partisan preference, and data from the Census Bureau's 2016 report on voting and registration to estimate each group's turnout level. Whites without college degrees are the bedrock of Donald Trump's coalition: Mitt Romney carried them by more than 20 percentage points in 2012, and Trump is on pace to well exceed that showing. Or, click on a different year to see average results for that election. "The definitive 2016 election game!" - said no one. Election Manager comes with a variety of scenarios, from a recreation of the 2012 election to a four-way election between independent parties. 10.5%. We simulate the election 40,000 times to see who wins most often. States shown here did not allocate all their available electoral votes to one candidate. Please enter a name, party, and color for each candidate. If any company has conducted multiple polls in the last 14 days, we average out their polling results in order to give them just one entry. Princeton Election Consortium Electoral Map Colors indicate likelihood for a Clinton or Trump victory in each state based on current polling. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. Under a 269-269 tie, the Constitution states that the House of Representatives decides the President. In the 1992 election, Ross Perot was such a candidate, winning approximately 19% of the popular vote and having over 30% of the nal vote in Maine and 27% in Utah [2]. 2024 Polls Presidential Election Senate GOP Primary Dem Primary Biden Approval Rating Tracker. Dive in. In the new ladder mode, you will choose your political party and launch your campaign against increasingly challenging opponents. Battle for your spot in the White House against some of the most famous (and infamous!) By Aaron Bycoffe and David Wasserman. Release Date: Jan 9, 2020. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. Start with the results of the previous election, adjusted for demographic change since 2016. (Defaults are from 2020), States Choosing Electors using Congressional District Method: So we built one. Defeat each candidate to unlock them for general . Which President's personality most closely matches yours? And you are being followed. YAPms 2 Beta - Discord USA 2016 Presidential Election Shortcuts F - hold down to quickly fill in districts CTRL - hold down to decrement the color Enable Simulator District Electoral College The Electoral College is the process in which the United States elects its president. Click on this interactive map to create your own projections for the 2020 presidential race, see. States already placed in the Biden and Trump camp are those classified as solid or likely to go to each candidate according to the Cook Political Report as of 9 September 2020. This article was published more than6 years ago. *No district-level delegates from Pennsylvania are allocated because those delegates are directly elected without indicating presidential preference. There's little evidence that Trump is improving on Romneys 6 percent showing, but without Obama on the ballot, Democrats will need to ensure black turnout remains high. How to play? Steam and the Steam logo are trademarks and/or registered trademarks of Valve Corporation in the U.S. and/or other countries. Give speeches, go on talk shows, hire unsavory operatives, and do whatever it takes to win on election day. The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. This refreshed version of Win the White House challenges you to build your campaign and allows you to simulate a presidential election: Building arguments to support timely issues that are relevant to you Strategically raise funds to support your campaign Brian wahlbrink sugar pine realty gmac Six13 songs pk. Can you take Biden to victory? In a winner-take-all state, the winner gets all the delegates regardless of vote share. Change the settings below to see how shifts in party preference and turnout by different demographic groups would affect the 2016 presidential election. This is also visualised in the form of. Skew results Democratic Republican Use Preset Result Data *Uses current state electoral vote count 1. You can also narrow these results down to games played by a specific candidate and difficulty level. Trump win Biden. Use our simulator to build your own election result map, US election live follow all the latest updates, Tue 3 Nov 2020 16.41GMT First published on Fri 30 Oct 2020 10.20GMT, Helena Robertson, Ashley Kirk and Frank Hulley-Jones. In states with delegates awarded by congressional district, the simulation allocates delegates in the following ranges: Due to rounding and the range of possible outcomes, individual candidates' delegate totals may sum to more than the total available delegates. Copyright 2023 Stardock Entertainment. Choices will appear in coloured text. The split can be edited in this table. I've preloaded the simulator with data for the 2016 U.S. presidential election and a handful of other historical 3-party races that are interesting for a variety of reasons. Trumps unpopularity among white voters with college degrees could be his Achilles heel and Hillary Clintons salvation. Default All Democratic All Republican All Tossup All Blank Tossup Only Tilt or Less Lean or Less Likely or Less Solid or Less 2000 Actual 2004 Actual 2008 Actual 2012 . Have fun. However, Latino voters tend to turn out at lower rates than whites and African-Americans and are heavily concentrated in non-battleground states, such as California, New York and Texas, limiting their influence in the Electoral College. New for 2016:The 2016 simulator is no longer coded in Flash, so it will work on your mobile device. presidents in American history. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. v1.1 Included: Over a dozen new candidates, updated issues and . See how changes in voter turnout and support could shift the outcome of the 2020 election. Who will protect women from the courts and legislatures? Race to the White House. In most states, the winner of the popular vote gets all of the state's electoral votes. Or Don't. The election is your choice. Hit the "Run Simulation" button. No delegates are allocated for Guam, American Samoa and North Dakota because they arent holding presidential preference votes and their delegates are unbound. Illustration by Tim Lahan / for NBC News. View our Campaign Trail Hall of Fame. All Reviews: 4 user reviews. Here's how to play our game that lets you predict the next president. African-Americans are consistently Democrats best demographic group. Nothing has been posted to this project page yet. Community Hub. Campaign Trail results and averages by election: 2020 2016 2016a 2012 2000 1988 1976 1968 1960 1948 1916 1896 1860 1844 Tweet How do you stack up? FiveThirtyEight Polls-Plus Forecast Rep. Random. Ns2 network simulator feetures socks. Election Simulator 2016 is the result of being fed up with the 2016 election. This is likely to favour the Republicans, in which case Trump would end up staying in the White House. Data Updated: Tue Nov 03 2020 04:02:43 GMT-0800 (Pacific Standard Time) . The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. v1.2 Included: Ranked multiplayer matchmaking, election simulation mode, and new "Brexit" event. Finally, we adjusted the size of each demographic group by doubling census-estimated population change for voting-age citizens from 2016 to 2018. Well, it looks like we have our general election match-up: Jeb Bush vs. Martin O'Malley. Trump wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Voting history and 2016 margins have been retrieved from the Federal Election Commission. Independent Evan McMullin received 21.5% of the vote in Utah; best '3rd party' performance in any single state since Ross Perot in 1992, Libertarian Gary Johnson received over 3% of the nationwide vote; best 3rd party performance nationwide since Ross Perot in 1996. 0.3%. Multiplayer: Turning friends into frenemies. Contact us at electionscenarioexplorer@gmail.com. For example, candidates with less than a states required minimum share of the vote receive no delegates in that state. Clinton wins popular vote but loses Electoral College. Sprocket for 2 15/16 shaft 140 chain. These scenarios are custom-built by various enthusiasts of the game. The map above shows how the 2016 US Presidential election might go if only one demographic group got the vote. However, they turn out at lower rates than whites with degrees, and their share of the electorate shrinks every four years. Results from the Campaign Trail will be tied to your account. A majority of 270 electoral votes out of a total of 538 is needed to win, and the remaining states are up to you. Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream; Atlas Weblog; Election Tools. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the, Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024, Chicago to Host 2024 Democratic Convention, Live Results: Elections for Wisconsin Supreme Court, Chicago Mayor Headline a Busy Tuesday. The Democratic incumbent, aged 79, passes on what would be a fairly easy path to a fourth term, He faces little opposition from within the Democratic Party; Possible Rematch with Donald Trump in 2024, The final Secretary of State under Donald Trump did not rule out a future campaign, It will be the 12th time Chicago has hosted the Democrats; the GOP will gather in Milwaukee for their convention in mid-July, Several other cities are holding mayoral elections or primaries, The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. (Defaults are from 2020), Show Map Link (for use in uselectionatlas.org forum posts only), Calculator for Another Year: For Mac, iPad, and iPhone: About the Game Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. The sample of 100 outcomes below gives you a good idea of the range of scenarios our model thinks is possible. Dem Votes. Clinton won Washington; however three electors cast votes for Colin Powell, one for Faith Spotted Eagle, Trump won Texas; however one elector cast a vote for Ron Paul, another for John Kasich, Clinton won Hawaii; however one elector cast a vote for Bernie Sanders. Election Manager 2016 is an abstract strategic election simulation game where you manage your ticket in an attempt to get your candidate elected to the office of President of the United States. Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Maryland Sen. Ben Cardin Won't Seek Reelection Next Year, President Biden Launches Campaign for Reelection, Mike Pompeo Will Not Run for President in 2024, One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated, Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party. All rights reserved. There were seven faithless presidential electors. The model used here allocates the congressional district electoral votes in those states separately from the statewide electoral votes. THE RACE TO 270 A candidate must win at least 270 electoral votesa majority of the total 538to become president. For the Bernie Sanders fans out there, we continue to maintain the Sanders vs. Trump electoral map. Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by race, college education and age in each state. Nonetheless, they still factor heavily in key states, including Iowa, Nevada, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election; Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections; Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections; Follow Updates. Reporting and analysis from the Hill and the White House, The Fixs 2016 Create Your Own Electoral College Map simulator. This marked the first time that Maine has split its electoral vote since it moved away from the winner-take-all method in 1972. 2023-24 Election Forecast. - The options for swing states are: Florida, Maine (at large), Michigan, Minnesota, Nebraska (2nd district), New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Nevada Indiana, Iowa, North Carolina, Ohio. Vote Share (%) Turnout (%) Rep Votes. 2016 Electoral College Calculator We then applied these estimates at the county level and used a statistical technique (called iterative proportional fitting) to fit the estimates to actual vote results before reconstructing them at the state level. The remaining states have been divided into groups using their voting history and expectations in 2020, to help you decide which way they might go. Then click the Move button and the state you want to move your counties to. The tool populates an electoral map in about 15 seconds, based on a probability set for each state. You will answer questions about your platform and positions, and also about your campaign strategy. McMullin wins at least one electoral vote. See the Bbc weather alicante october. Non-college-educated whites skew older and rural and will be 46 percent of eligible voters in 2016, down from 49 percent in 2012. Election simulator is a political satire game where you gain Voters by literally throwing cash at problems in society. And since that wasn't enough . Contact us with any questions or comments. If you find something interesting -- a scenario that even Martin O'Malley could win -- let us know in the comments. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. Additional new features will be coming soon. Mess around. Related reporting: Trump's Path to a Contested Convention . Which President's personality most closely matches yours? Out-talk, Out-smart, and Out-spend your Opponents, The Political Machine 2020 v1.4 - The Final Stretch, The Political Machine 2020 v1.31 - The Big Issues, Most Interesting Political Machine 2020 YouTube Videos. In the interactive graphic below, you decide which way these closer states will vote, and try to pave Joe Biden or Donald Trumps path to victory. How do you stack up? Most prominent in suburbs and in swing states such as Colorado, New Hampshire and Virginia, this growing segment turns out to vote much more reliably than any other group and has been increasingly leaning toward Democrats. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. More on that later. And since that wasn't enough, we also included data on how the states voted relative to the country on the whole, letting you see how much more liberal or conservative each one was versus the norm, even if it voted for a Democrat or a Republican. Interactive US map from jquery us-map . [read full article], Hard to believe there are only 6 weeks until election day! All Games > Simulation Games > Election simulator. See the Princeton Election Consortium site for probability color scheme. Reset Map Share Map You predict Joe Biden will win with 306 votes! Maybe check back later! These Results are controlled 100% by the computerGet the game here: http://270soft.com/us-election-games/president-election-game-2016-infinity/ a campaign assistant working to elect her candidate. 2016 election simulation as if voter turnout and preferences were the same as in 2012scenario Athe authors are not expressing the belief that this is a likely event. The 270toWin simulator has returned for 2016, currently featuring the most likely November match-up: Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump. Build your own US election result: plot a Biden or Trump win Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for. You must have Javascript enabled to play this game. View your games and progress over time. You can choose to have the map populate randomly or more east to west, based on actual poll closing times. Forum Discussion of the 2016 Presidential Election, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Gubernatorial Elections, Forum Discussion of the 2016 Congressional Elections, Follow Election Polls, Predictions, Endorsements, and Mock Election on the Atlas Activity Stream, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Democratic, 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary - Republican. [read full article], The Political Machine has always been a game that gets users excited for the upcoming Points Shop News Labs. To change a state's party, click on an individual state on the U.S. map. Just kidding! View overall results, or a specific state: This election simulation game is developed by icivics has been played more than 6 million times. But it's not just any ol' electoral map simulator; we made a tool that lets you also 1) jump to particular scenarios and 2) see how the states have voted in the past. See more info here. Simulation Infogram. Or will Trump stay in the White House? Sources: Sorry but an error occured. This game allows its users . The state-by-state vote share breaks down as follows: The simulation accounts for state-by-state rules as well. Not only did they give President Obama 93 percent of their votes in 2012, but their turnout surpassed that of whites. Additional contributions from Allison McCann. Latino voters are about 11 percent of the eligible electorate in 2016, up 1 percentage point from four years ago. Non-Hisp. The state-by-state . The probabilities will be determined by polling, particularly as that becomes more frequent. It was started during the 2016 elections and now it has been updated for the 2020 election. Such states ranked either a solid or likely win for either party, according to the Cook Political Report have already been coloured in for Biden and Trump in the graphic below. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version? ) Select the Run Simulation button to conduct a simulated 2020 presidential election. Weep at how arbitrary our electoral system is. Walk the fine line between appealing to your base and winning a majority of the votes. DeSantis critical of China, hazy on Ukraine as he charts foreign policy path. WRITER / DIRECTOR : Greg Buchanan PROGRAMMERS: Cherie Davidson and Matt Nichols COMPOSER: Seb Peters ILLUSTRATOR: Adam Coburn LOGO: Anthony Gambino 2020 polling indicates a 14-day rolling average of statewide polls calculated by the Guardian, correct as of the timestamp above. Although Asians and others (including Native Americans, Native Hawaiians and multiracial voters) made up just 5 percent of all voters in 2012, they are the fastest-growing segment of the voting-eligible population. States Choosing Electors using Winner-take-all Method: (Prefer a Simpler Version?) Biden may be ahead in the polls, but key battlegrounds that the Democrats lost unexpectedly in 2016 could come through again for Trump. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. In 2012, President Obama carried 257 of the 673 majority-white counties where over a third of residents ages 25 and older hold at least a bachelor's degree. Maine and Nebraska award one electoral vote to the winner of the popular vote in each congressional district and two electoral votes to the statewide winner. First, we calculated the average share of the vote for each position (first place through fourth place) in all contests through Super Tuesday, with some adjustments made for cases where there would be fewer than four candidates. The Political Machine is a trademark of Stardock Entertainment. It is 2016. Barring some sort of stunning development, we're headed for a Donald Trump-Hillary Clinton fight in November -- the sort of outcome that Americans in other dimensions are using as jokes to start their news articles. Save your map Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024 Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. Do you have what it takes to go down in history? Review asus memo tablet. Each state's delegation casts a single vote with a majority of 26 out of 50 needed to win. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. White. These are the states that had a lower than 3% margin in 2016 or switched from red to blue/blue to red between 2008 and 2016. This simulation uses a set of assumptions based on the results of the Republican primary so far. Special thanks to New Signature for their work on a clickable U.S. map. All rights reserved. Support|Gamepedia Wiki Select a year and a candidate to find out. Johnson wins at least one electoral vote. Save your Map Democratic Republican Each candidate comes with a modern perspective on all of the hot current issues and is ready to fight for the 2016 presidency. Ted puts Hillary's reputation to the test. To build a baseline model of the 2020 presidential election we started with the results of the 2016 election, measuring the support for President Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton by . Create your own Click on the edit button in the title or near each candidate to edit the content Click each state to cycle through colors to determine a state's winner. After this standardization process, we then take a mean average of these daily entries in order to present the polling average. (Defaults are from 2020) Clinton majority wins at least 50 percent of the vote. Greetings fellow Political Junkies! 201620122008200420001996199219881984198019761972196819641960195619521948194419401936193219281924192019161912190819041900189618921888188418801876187218681864186018561852184818441840 One of only 5 elections (1824, 1876, 1888, 2000, 2016) where the popular vote winner was defeated Hillary Clinton first female presidential nominee of a major political party Clinton won Maine but Trump earned an electoral vote by winning the popular vote in the 2nd Congressional District. The United States presidential election of 2016 was the 58th quadrennial American presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 8, 2016. This game was built using Twine. Sources: Edison Media Research/Mitofsky International (2004/2008/2012 exit polls); U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey (turnout rates by race/ethnicity); U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (population estimates); Cook Political Report (election results; compiled from official sources). The map was created by Ste Kinney-Fields and is based on data from from fivethirtyeight and 270towin.You can read the full article here.. Disclaimer: This post was written before the 2016 election results, so was a best guess as to how each group . scenarios below for examples. Last updated April 27, 2016 at 11:08 p.m. Obama took 73 percent of the Asian vote in 2012, 2 points higher than his share among Latinos, and Trump could underperform past Republicans among this group. Romney received just 27 percent of their votes in 2012, and Trump is in danger of faring even worse. All Rights Reserved. We'll update the electoral vote after updating the number of electors the state gets. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. US election live follow all the latest updates. Demographic Group. On any day, we collate any polls published in the last 14 days and take a mean average of their results. Save the election map to generate a unique link to share. In this game, you will make choices. For now, a combination of polling, 2012 actual and, The way the site is structured, we can only have one simulation pairing, and so we've chosen to launch (rather than wait) with the most likely fall match-up. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. In 2000, Al Gore carried just 169. [read full article], 64 MB DirectX 9.0c 3DVideo Card with PixelShader 2.0 Support. But with the primaries now (mostly) behind us, we can start obsessing over who will win and how they will do it. The states are not interactive on the map unless the split is . 2020 Electoral College Map Presidential candidates need 270 electoral votes to win an election. Results can now split Maine and Nebraska, as there is at least some possibility that one congressional district in each of those states may be competitive in November. Something isn't right about this candidate. Please try again later. Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse. This page contains results for all recent 2016 games that have been played on The Campaign Trail. Three additional faithless votes, one each in Colorado, Maine and Minnesota, were disallowed. 2021 Guardian News & Media Limited or its affiliated companies. Use Simplified Version of the Electoral College Calculator, Electoral College Calculator and Map Generator - 2024. The electoral map has shifted in 2020, amid new challenges from misinformation to mail-in ballots. The Republican ticket of businessman Donald Trump and Indiana Governor Mike Pence defeated the Democratic ticket of former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Then adjust the sliders to see how shifts in turnout and support among different demographic groups could swing the Electoral College. Finally, the map can be populated randomly or more East-to-West, based on actual poll closing times. Election simulator. Take our Presidential Personality Quiz. : Lesson Plan: . "WE THE PEOPLE" ELECTION SIMULATION: In this extended class activity students take part in an election simulation as a way of evaluating the election procedures used in the state of Connecticut and nationally and examine key elements of elections such as voter participation, eligibility, election security and the electoral process.